Previewing Day 2 of the Big Ten Conference Tournament

Well, day one is in the books on the Big Ten Tournament and Ohio State and Purdue picked up victories. Ohio State had an 8th inning rally which accounted for all five of their runs to beat Minnesota 5-3. Purdue was down 2-0 before firing off seven unanswered runs which, behind the right arm of Matt Morgan was plenty to cruise passed Penn State. You can find plenty of recaps around the web, so I won’t spend too much time on that.

Let’s look ahead to tomorrow where Ohio State will take on the top seed Illinois Fighting illini. Meanwhile, The Boilermakers win got them a match up with the second-seeded Michigan State Spartans. As a result of their losses, fifth-seeded Minnesota will play sixth-seeded Penn State, as well.

What I will do is use a method called the Log5 to determine the likelihood each team wins their games tomorrow. Read the rest of this entry »

Advertisements

Big Ten Conference Recap: Purdue Pitching

The team pitching recaps from the 2010 season are all linked to under the 2010 Season Recap tab. This is the tenth installment, focusing on the Purdue Boilermakers.

The Purdue Boilermakers finished the 2010 season at .500 in conference play with a 12-12 record, but had a very good 33-24 overall record. The strength of the ‘Makers was the pitching staff. I have them finishing fourth in the conference in estimated runs scored. However, their pitching staff led the conference by nine estimated runs allowed. Total that all up and I actually had Purdue as being the best team in the Big Ten in 2010.

Below are the raw numbers for the Purdue pitching staff last season.

Name CL K% BB% K-BB% BABIP Pitches TBF
Bischoff, Matt SR 0.240 0.043 0.197 0.326 1352 396
Cahill, Kevin SR 0.222 0.175 0.048 0.240 466 126
Calder, Tyler SO 0.071 0.143 -0.071 0.300 49 14
Collins, Sean SO 0.091 0.091 0.000 0.328 288 88
Gannon, Pat FR 0.139 0.099 0.040 0.324 342 101
Gunter, Calvin SO 0.186 0.110 0.076 0.386 602 172
Haase, Joe SO 0.157 0.114 0.043 0.273 471 140
Jansen, Matt SR 0.188 0.162 0.026 0.348 809 229
Mascarello, Blake SO 0.211 0.105 0.105 0.289 404 114
Morgan, Matt JR 0.228 0.091 0.138 0.368 1119 320
Ramer, Robert FR* 0.089 0.078 0.011 0.219 289 90
Schreiber, Mike FR 0.180 0.081 0.099 0.359 382 111
Sestak, Connor SR 0.067 0.133 -0.067 0.429 149 45
Sudbury, Mike SO 0.267 0.267 0.000 0.000 60 15
Wurdack, Drew SR 0.192 0.099 0.093 0.372 1076 313

Read the rest of this entry »