2012 Recaps: Illinois Hitting

I will be posting hitting, pitching, and defensive updates for each team in the Big Ten to recap their 2012 seasons with the proper scrutiny. Those are linked at the 2012 Season Recaps tab at the top right. I have no planned schedule on when I will have them posted, but the order is going to be alphabetical. Their timing will likely be sporadic, however.

The Fighting Illini finished the 2012 campaign three games over .500 at 28-25. Boyd Nation currently has Illinois ranked 96th overall. Despite this, the Illini finished just 11-13 in conference play, in a tie for sixth place which left them on the outside of the Big Ten Tournament invitees. This is a recap of their hitting as both a team and individuals.

As a Team

On the whole, the Illini were middle-of-the-road offensively. Their 309 runs on the season were the sixth most in the conference. Illinois posted a 0.326 Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA; refer to this post for more links on what wOBA is) which was a shade over the 0.320 conference average. That gives Illinois seven runs above average offensively which was actually the fourth-best mark in the Big Ten.

K+ BB+ ISO+ BABIP+ wOBA wRAA wRC+
106 106 99 104 0.326 7 103
Ranking 6 3 7 3 4 4 4

Categories with a plus sign are put on the OPS+ scale where 100 is league average

Illinois was significantly above-average in getting on base. BB+ is based on BB% which does include hit by pitches, as well. They were above average when they put the ball in play and it all totaled to a slightly above-average offense. Had they hit for some more power, they could’ve really been an offensive force.

Individual

Name PA K% BB% *ISO wOBA* wRAA* wRC+
Argo, Willie 239 0.167 0.167 0.084 0.406 10.6 133
Parr, Jordan 221 0.122 0.072 0.173 0.382 6.9 123
Roper, Reid 209 0.191 0.148 0.094 0.361 4.2 115
Hohl, Brandon 230 0.200 0.143 0.086 0.340 2.0 106
Parr, Justin 235 0.115 0.089 0.128 0.335 1.4 104
Lindauer, Thomas 237 0.114 0.127 0.076 0.333 1.1 103
Hendrickson, Davis 198 0.182 0.121 0.090 0.324 -0.1 100
Shelton, Thomas 96 0.198 0.063 0.057 0.319 -0.3 98
Krug, Will 62 0.242 0.129 0.040 0.314 -0.3 96
Kerian, David 31 0.226 0.161 0.000 0.283 -0.7 83
Norris-Jones, Kelly 151 0.185 0.113 0.064 0.312 -1.0 95
Lincoln, Alex 37 0.189 0.000 0.000 0.255 -1.4 72
Charvat, Bill 66 0.212 0.061 0.101 0.269 -2.0 78
Hurwitz, Michael 45 0.289 0.111 0.077 0.170 -3.8 38

The above raw values placed on the OPS+ scale would look as such:

Name PA K+ BB+ BABIP+ ISO+ wOBA* wRAA* wRC+
Argo, Willie 239 106 151 120 68 0.406 10.6 133
Parr, Jordan 221 77 66 117 139 0.382 6.9 123
Roper, Reid 209 121 134 114 76 0.361 4.2 115
Hohl, Brandon 230 126 130 98 69 0.340 2.0 106
Parr, Justin 235 73 81 97 103 0.335 1.4 104
Lindauer, Thomas 237 72 115 97 61 0.333 1.1 103
Hendrickson, Davis 198 115 110 100 72 0.324 -0.1 100
Shelton, Thomas 96 125 57 114 46 0.319 -0.3 98
Krug, Will 62 153 117 116 32 0.314 -0.3 96
Kerian, David 31 143 146 81 0 0.283 -0.7 83
Norris-Jones, Kelly 151 117 102 102 51 0.312 -1.0 95
Lincoln, Alex 37 119 0 110 0 0.255 -1.4 72
Charvat, Bill 66 134 55 85 81 0.269 -2.0 78
Hurwitz, Michael 45 182 101 34 62 0.170 -3.8 38

Both tables are sorted by Weighted  Runs Above Average. Any category with an asterisk (*) is adjusted for park factors which are taken from Boyd’s World.

Willie Argo continued his trend of decreasing his strikeouts (relative to league average he’s posted 111, 120 and now 106 the last three years) and increasing his walks/HBP’s (135, 140, 151). After hitting eight home runs combined in the previous two seasons, he only managed to hit one long ball which really hurt his Isolated Power. He made up for that, however, with very good on-base skills (0.430 OBP) and very good stolen base numbers (22 SB’s, 4 caught stealing) and since I include SB/CS’s in my individual wOBA calculations (still debating on whether this is good or not), it really pumps up his wOBA to a team-leading, park-adjusted 10.6 runs above average.

Jordan Parr was very good in suppressing strikeouts, but he didn’t walk much either. His wOBA was driven by a very big isolated power — best on the team with a 0.173 park-adjusted IsoP, 139 IsoP+. He clubbed 13 doubles, three triples and  tied with Brandon Hohl for the teamlead with five round-trippers. Speaking of Hohl, he tended to be the opposite. Yes, he tied for the team lead with five home runs, he only had one other hit go for extra bases (one double) out of his 51 total hits.

Kelly Norris-Jones really struggled in his first year, hitting for almost no power. He only swiped two bags in three attempts, so he didn’t supplement his weak stick with much value when he was on base. Additionally, he was a touch above-average in BB+ but struggled making contact. He’ll improve as he continues to see more college pitching, but his 151 PA’s hurt the Illinois to the tune of a run below average.

Michael Hurwitz had no luck when the ball was in play (just 0.111 BABIP), but his 45 plate appearances were impressively poor, costing his squad almost four full runs. That was the second worst mark for a player with so few PA’s this year, just about half-a-run better than Northwestern’s Chris Kontos who posted a -4.2 wRAA in 44 plate appearances.

Advertisements


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s