Big Ten Conference Recap: Ohio State Pitching

Posted: September 25, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Ohio State | Leave a comment »

The team pitching recaps from the 2010 season are all linked to under the 2010 Season Recap tab. This is the eighth installment, focusing on the Ohio State Buckeyes.

After a brief break to look at some Runs Above Average for individual pitchers, I’m back to my team-by-team pitching reviews for the 2010 season.

The Ohio State Buckeyes pitching could easily be summed up in two words: Alex Wimmers. But, that doesn’t make for a good read, does it? If you paid attention to the leader boards I posted in both of my RAA posts, you’ll note a lack of OSU pitchers on there not named Wimmers.

Below are the raw statistics for the Ohio State pitching staff in 2010:

Name CL K% BB% K-BB% BABIP Pitches TBF
Best, Eric SR 0.183 0.076 0.107 0.352 757 224
Bobinski, Brian JR 0.085 0.127 -0.042 0.429 234 71
Brown, Cole FR 0.000 0.182 -0.182 0.412 72 22
McKinney, Brett FR 0.158 0.134 0.024 0.372 1004 291
Minium, Theron JR 0.127 0.106 0.021 0.299 637 189
Rucinski, Drew JR 0.170 0.089 0.080 0.373 1143 336
Shin, Eric JR 0.143 0.143 0.000 0.429 146 42
Strayer, Jared JR 0.115 0.109 0.005 0.343 589 183
Wimmers, Alex JR 0.293 0.085 0.207 0.322 1068 294
Wolosiansky, Dean JR 0.147 0.081 0.066 0.369 1511 455

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Adjusted Pitching Run Values for the 2010 Season

Posted: September 22, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Research, Runs Above Average | 6 Comments »

I got some free time sooner than I thought, and really wanted to hammer out some Runs Above Average numbers for the 2010 season for individual pitcher. You can read a bit about it from my post on Monday. What I’ve done is used the same methodology, however, instead of the raw singles, doubles, triples, homers, sacrifice flies/hits numbers, I substituted league average rates. This gives a Defensive Independent Pitching Statistic-like (DiPS) element to the run valuations.

Basically, it is my attempt to neutralize things like batting average on balls in play and/or defensive impacts.

Below, you will find the top 25 pitchers sorted by my Adjusted BaseRuns Runs Above Average statistic. Read the rest of this entry »

Pitching Run Values for the 2010 Season

Posted: September 21, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Research, Runs Above Average | 9 Comments »

Taking a break from my team-by-team review of what I consider to be the essential pitching stats — strikeout percentage, walk percentage, strikeout minus walk percentage, total batters faced — I’m going to bring out a run estimator. While looking at multiple statistics are the better way to go, it’s nice to have a handy singular number to give you an idea of a pitcher’s value to their team.

What I’ve done is pretty simple. I’ve used a Base Runs method to get an ERA estimate. Then, I found the league average for each year I have statistics (2008-2010, though I have team stats for the 2007 season, but have slacked on getting individual numbers for that year). From there, it’s a simple matter of subtracting the pitchers Base Runs ERA from the league average rate and multiple by innings pitched and divide by nine. Voila. Pretty simple. Then again, I did steal this from Patriot over at Walk Like a Sabermetrician.  Below is the top 25 in runs saved in 2010. Read the rest of this entry »

Big Ten Conference Recap: Northwestern Pitching

Posted: September 17, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Northwestern | 2 Comments »

The team pitching recaps from the 2010 season are all linked to under the 2010 Season Recap tab. This is the seventh installment, focusing on the Northwestern Wildcats.

The 2010 Northwestern Wildcats didn’t pitch terribly, though they did finish in the bottom half of the league in runs allowed. I’ve estimated they should’ve allowed around 312 runs which would have put them fifth in the conference. Let’s take a look at the raw stats for their pitchers last season:

Name CL K% BB% K-BB% BABIP Pitches TBF
Brooke, Francis SO 0.126 0.026 0.099 0.308 1202 382
Farrell, Luke FR 0.130 0.150 -0.020 0.471 348 100
Gailey, Matt JR 0.167 0.078 0.089 0.227 308 90
Havey, Jack FR 0.299 0.103 0.195 0.283 321 87
Jahns, Michael SO 0.089 0.145 -0.056 0.412 596 179
Jensen, David SR 0.121 0.103 0.018 0.323 740 224
Jokisch, Eric JR 0.151 0.105 0.046 0.348 1386 410
Morton, Zach SO 0.209 0.117 0.092 0.375 726 206
Muraski, Joe SR 0.194 0.091 0.103 0.409 1177 341
Sanders, Steve JR 0.115 0.192 -0.077 0.389 97 26
Snieder, Paul SO 0.220 0.101 0.119 0.221 556 159
Stevens, Trevor SO 1.000 0.000 1.000 N/A 10 1
Williams, Quentin SO 0.063 0.125 -0.063 0.231 57 16

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Big Ten Conference Recap: Minnesota Pitching

Posted: September 8, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Minnesota | 3 Comments »

The team pitching recaps from the 2010 season are all linked to under the 2010 Season Recap tab. This is the sixth installment, focusing on the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

The Gophers won the Big Ten Conference regular season and conference tournament crowns and sported a 15-9 record, but struggled overall to a 32-30 record.

Including non-conference data, Minnesota gave up the third fewest runs in the league with just 325. I’ve got them estimated as giving up the fourth fewest at 343 — so their pitching staff was about as legitimate as they come.

Here’s their pitchers raw data.

Name CL K% BB% K-BB% BABIP Pitches TBF
Bechstein, Allen SR 0.102 0.140 -0.038 0.402 521 157
Fern, Scott JR 0.123 0.219 -0.096 0.310 407 114
Isaksson, Phil JR 0.161 0.102 0.059 0.278 1194 354
Kray, Kevin FR 0.127 0.196 -0.069 0.354 361 102
Lubinsky, Austin SO 0.142 0.099 0.043 0.343 473 141
Matyas, Scott JR 0.385 0.128 0.256 0.371 602 156
Oakes, TJ FR 0.152 0.077 0.075 0.313 1238 375
Rasmussen, Luke JR 0.129 0.096 0.033 0.361 680 209
Rosin, Seth JR 0.223 0.054 0.169 0.298 1432 426
Ryan, Tim JR 0.068 0.193 -0.125 0.344 302 88
Sexton, Cullen JR 0.158 0.140 0.018 0.351 384 114
Soule, Billy FR 0.161 0.115 0.046 0.307 747 218

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Big Ten Conference Recap: Michigan Pitching

Posted: September 7, 2010 | Author: | Filed under: Michigan | 4 Comments »

The team pitching recaps from the 2010 season are all linked to under the 2010 Season Recap tab. This is the fifth installment, focusing on the Michigan Wolverines.

The Michigan Wolverines finished second in Big Ten play with a 14-10 record (35-22 overall). In my look at league-wide, team-level pitching we saw Michigan posted above-average strikeout numbers but struggled with walks and hit batters. Combining their raw numbers with their hitting numbers, I had estimated that U of M gave up the fourth most runs in the conference (including non-conference play) while having the second highest estimated runs total.

In reality, Michigan scored the most runs, but were middle of the pack in runs allowed. Here’s their pitchers raw data.

Name CL K% BB% K-BB% BABIP Pitches TBF
Ballantine, Ben FR 0.178 0.137 0.041 0.438 258 73
Broder, Matt FR* 0.167 0.229 -0.063 0.414 177 48
Brosnahan, Bobby FR* 0.191 0.135 0.056 0.362 1126 319
Burgoon, Tyler JR 0.285 0.103 0.182 0.373 914 253
Clark, Kyle FR 0.163 0.185 -0.022 0.446 326 92
DeCarlo, Jeff SR 0.160 0.320 -0.160 0.500 102 25
Gerbe, Matt JR* 0.107 0.164 -0.057 0.318 541 159
Katzman, Eric SR 0.117 0.193 -0.076 0.283 506 145
Miller, Matt JR 0.169 0.110 0.060 0.374 1032 301
Oaks, Alan SR 0.179 0.123 0.055 0.274 1380 397
Sinnery, Brandon SO 0.133 0.095 0.038 0.380 874 263
Smith, Travis JR 0.222 0.292 -0.069 0.375 284 72
Vangheluwe, Kevin SO 0.200 0.100 0.100 0.500 104 30
Wood, Kolby JR 0.190 0.061 0.128 0.433 593 179

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